And here’s your running order!
Posted by Caroline on May 24, 2012
So the draw for the remainder of the running order has been made, and faster than you can say, ‘well look where Sweden ended up, guess we may as well all pack up and go home then’, here’s how it’s looking for Saturday night….
1) UK
2) HUNGARY
3) ALBANIA
4) LITHUANIA
5) BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
6) RUSSIA
7) ICELAND
8) CYPRUS
9) FRANCE
10) ITALY
11)ESTONIA
12) NORWAY
13) AZERBAIJAN
14) ROMANIA
15) DENMARK
16) GREECE
17) SWEDEN
18) TURKEY
19) SPAIN
20) GERMANY
21) MALTA
22) FYR MACEDONIA
23) IRELAND
24) SERBIA
25) UKRAINE
26) MOLDOVA
See you on Saturday, folks….
anon said
AGAIN!!!???
Once again, it seems that the songs most expected to do well got stuffed into the second half of the draw. Let’s take a look at the “sure” qualifiers (a consensus from another web site):
SF1
06 Russia
07 Iceland
08 Cyprus
14 Romania
15 Denmark
16 Greece
23 Ireland
26 Moldova
SF2
11 Estonia
17 Sweden
18 Turkey
24 Serbia
25 Ukraine
That’s nine out of thirteen “sure” qualifiers in the second half, so once again we will see the second half of the draw dominate the top ten. In fact, there might only be two songs from the first half of the draw (Russia and Italy) to make the top ten.
First guess at top ten (performance order)
Likely:
Russia
Italy
Romania
Greece (they finished third in the televote last year, and I expect their even larger diaspora to come through again this year)
Sweden
Turkey (don’t deserve it, but another country with diaspora everywhere)
Ireland (barely)
Serbia
Ukraine (diaspora vote again)
That leaves exactly one spot for another country. I see one of the following as most likely:
Iceland
Azerbaijan
Spain
Germany
Moldova
donal said
Caroline – I made this little parody of Humperdinck’s song, which you might enjoy!
Keep up with the Eurovision news!
Ann said
I wouldn’t have enjoyed watching this over 40 years ago!
Alex said
Not since 2004 has a country singing in the first half of the draw won. Statistically that rules out Russia.
Only once in 14 years has a country singing in their own language won. Statistically that rules out Serbia.
Sweden or Ireland. I can’t see anyone else winning.
anon said
Wish I had time to write up a bit about each song, but I don’t. First, I am following three simple rules:
1. Never bet against Ukraine making the top ten.
2. Never bet against Greece making the top ten.
3. Never bet against Turkey making the top ten.
I could probably add Azerbaijan to that list despite their short history.
This should be the last time I have to listen to that excrement from Albania (given that it will completely disappear after the show).
I detest the Russian song, but know it will do well. Obviously, I hope it doesn’t win, but Eurovision will survive, even if it does. The last time Russia won, its victory was so outrageous that the EBU changed the rules. Maybe that will happen again this year.
I actually don’t dislike the Swedish song itself that much, but I absolutely hate Christer Bjorkman and what he is trying to do to Eurovision (bigger productions with more people on stage and the use of recorded vocals). He is on the EBU Reference Group, and a win by Sweden would give him even more power. That is reason enough for any fan to root against Sweden.
There is plenty of irrationality in the reactions one has to the songs. Greece 2005 has been at the very bottom of my all time list since that year (and I disparage it every chance I get), but Greece 2008 was my favorite that year, and this year’s entry is one of my favorites, as well. You might say that that doesn’t make any sense, since those songs are quite similar (and I won’t argue with you about that
), but that is just the way it is.
Last year, I made three predictions:
1. Azerbaijan would win (check).
2. Estonia would finish last (they finished next last).
3. Sognu (the favorite) would not do as well as “Allez Ola Ole” (the French entry from the previous year). CHECK!
I doubt I can do nearly as well this year.
I think politics (feelings about what is going on in Germany and Greece affecting votes, for example) could play a bigger role than usual this year, but that is just one more thing that the prognosticator has to overcome.
*DESIRED* outcome:
01 Romania
02 Greece
03 Iceland
04 Serbia
05 Cyprus
06 Bosnia and Herzegovina
07 Germany
08 Italy
09 Azerbaijan
10 Spain
11 Lithuania
12 Moldova
13 Ireland
14 Macedonia
15 Malta
16 France
17 Estonia
18 Denmark
19 Turkey
20 Norway
21 United Kingdom
22 Hungary
23 Ukraine
24 Albania
25 Russia
26 Sweden
*PREDICTED* outcome:
01 Serbia
02 Italy
03 Russia
04 Sweden
05 Ukraine
06 Germany
07 Azerbaijan
08 Spain
09 Turkey
10 Greece
11 Romania
12 Iceland
13 Moldova
14 Macedonia
15 Ireland
16 Bosnia and Herzegovina
17 Estonia
18 Cyprus
19 Malta
20 Denmark
21 Norway
22 United Kingdom
23 Albania
24 France
25 Lithuania
26 Hungary
Gob13 said
if ireland comes in de first 3 ill faint
Go JEDWARD!!!!!!!!!:D
Gob13 said
i so IRELAND WINS 4 DE 8TH TIME !
GO JEDWARD
Gob13 said
I LUV IRELAND 2 WIN SO MUCH I CANT STOP POSTIN COMMENTS!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
Gob13 said
JEDWARD WONT STOP ENTERIN TILL THEY WIN EUROVISION!!!!:)
Gob13 said
WOO HOO IRELAND AR GOIN TO WIN SOME YEAR
Gob13 said
AND THEY BETR OR THERE IS GOIN 2 B A ANGRY FAN ;(
Gob13 said
I WONDER HOW MANY COMMENTS CAN I DO IN A HOUR :O
Gob13 said
Gob13 said
i hope JEDWARD will win
Gob13 said
IM HAPPY:o
Gob13 said
WE’LL WIN SOMETIME!!!
Gob13 said
AR U SIC OF MY COMMENT???:o
Gob13 said
CAUSE I AINT STOPIN!!! HAHA
Gob13 said
DE RUSSIAN GRANNIES AR GONE COOKOO!!!!!!!:P
Gob13 said
I WONDER HOW MANY COMMENTS DID I SEND???HMM
Gob13 said
JEDWARD PERFORMIN NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
WOOHOO!!!!
Gob13 said
CMON JEDWARD!!!!!!!!
Gob13 said
IM STOP COMMENTIN 4 A WHILE NOW!!
Gob13 said
i cant believ ireland came 20th!!!!!!:(
Caroline said
They didn’t, they came 19th