We have our songs – and now we have our running order – which is as follows
SEMI-FINAL 1 (Tuesday May 10)
Poland
Norway
Albania
Armenia
Turkey
Serbia
Russia
Switzerland
Georgia
Finland
Malta
San Marino
Croatia
Iceland
Hungary
Portugal
Lithuania
Azerbaijan
Greece
Good news for: Georgia, who have a plum spot sandwiched between two of the quieter songs of the contest; Croatia, who should stand out in between the efforts of San Marino and Iceland; Hungary, who coming after Iceland and right before two duffers from Lithuania and Portugal look like an absolute cert for the final; Azerbaijan, for getting the ever popular second last slot in a very competitive semi; and Greece, who after the poor reception their song has received frankly need all the help they can get.
Bad news for: Poland, since going first is notoriously tough and it might well have spiked their chances with their strongest song in years; Norway, since nobody has EVER won from a second place in either a semi-final or a final (they’ll probably still qualify in the same way that second placed Russia did last year but we’re sensing Turkey, Croatia or Hungary might nab the top spot that could potentially have been theirs); Serbia, whose pleasant but unremarkable effort may well be lost between notorious big guns Turkey and Russia; and Switzerland, who will either stand out between the big upbeat efforts of Russia and Georgia, or simply vanish completely.
SEMI-FINAL 2 (Thursday May 12)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Austria
The Netherlands
Belgium
Slovakia
Ukraine
Moldova
Sweden
Cyprus
Bulgaria
FYR Macedonia
Israel
Slovenia
Romania
Estonia
Belarus
Latvia
Denmark
Ireland
GOOD NEWS FOR: Ireland, Ireland, Ireland, Ireland!!!!!! Jedward will be memorable enough as it is but who is possibly going to forget them from that starting position? We’ll be stunned if you don’t see them in the final. Also; Denmark, although frankly we don’t think they’ll need a great deal of help getting there (but having the penultimate spot won’t hurt); Estonia, whose already strong song will be even stronger for coming right before Belarus; Israel, simply because midway through isn’t a bad place to be at all; Sweden, who have done pretty well from performing eighth in previous years (well they won from eighth position with Carola in 1991. You don’t get much better than that); and surprisingly, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Yes, they are performing first which sucks but when you look at what follows (Austria, The Netherlands, Belgium, Slovakia) and realise they are actually the best of the bunch it should help their cause enormously…..
THE FINAL (Saturday May 14)
France 11
Italy 12
UK 14
Germany 16
Spain 22
It’s hard to properly analyse the running order of the final until it’s actually confirmed two days before the contest of course – but none of the Big Five should be disappointed with their positions in the running order this year, and the UK in particular should pat themselves on the back for getting a place in the second half of the show, away from the commercial break and more importantly not directly before the home nation. Or we could just breathe a sigh of relief that we are not performing second again. Until we know who will be before and after us we can’t rest on our laurels that much of course so for now let’s just stick with cautious optimism…..